Rays eye first win in Cleveland in nearly five years

Baseball Betting Lines

07/24/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tampa Bay has had a hard time winning in Cleveland. Hopefully its ace can turn things around, as the Rays send David Price to the mound this evening trying to stop the Cleveland Indians' incredible 18-game home winning streak against them in the second test of a three-game series at Progressive Field.

Cleveland continued its home mastery of the Rays in the opener of this set on Friday, as Fausto Carmona allowed just one unearned run in five strong innings, helping the Tribe to a 3-1 win in a rain-shortened, seven-inning affair.

The winning streak is the longest active stretch by one team over another at a particular stadium, and the Rays haven't won in Cleveland since September 28, 2005.

Carmona (10-7) won for the third straight start by allowing just one hit and one walk while fanning seven for the Indians, who have won seven of eight to begin the second half.

Trevor Crowe had two hits, including a solo homer, while Asdrubal Cabrera recorded three hits in the victory. Tony Sipp notched his first career save for pitching a hitless sixth and seventh.

Jeff Niemann (8-3) yielded two runs on five hits and three walks in five innings to receive the loss for the Rays, who are 3-4 on their nine-game road trip. John Jaso drove in the lone run in defeat.

Price, who is enjoying a breakout season, will look to rebound from his previous outing in which he was hammered by the New York Yankees for seven runs on seven hits and four walks in five innings, dropping him to 12-5, while raising his earned run average to 2.84.

It was the third loss in the last five starts for Price, but it was the first time since May 23rd that the Vanderbilt product surrendered more than three earned runs in a matchup.

The lackluster effort against New York could be due to the long break in between outings, but regardless, the setback dropped Price to just 6-4 in 10 road starts on the year.

Price beat the Indians the last time he faced them, yielding just an unearned run in six innings.

Taking the mound for the Indians will be Mitch Talbot, who has one victory in his last seven starts, and is winless in his last three outings. The last time Talbot was in action the right-hander tossed six strong innings, allowing just one run on six hits in five innings.

The Tribe eventually won that game by a 2-1 margin, but Talbot did not factor in the decision.

Talbot, who is just 3-4 in nine home starts this season with a 5.07 earned run average, will be making his first career start against Tampa.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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